It's that time of year again.  The Tropics are starting to get active.  There are two areas in the Atlantic that I believe bear watching.  In the first one there  is a little circulation and a fair amount of convection:

Actually the season started back in June and it's on the down hill slide, it ends on the last day of October, I think.

Usually when we get one this time of year, it's mostly rain.  Lots and lots of rain.

And the second one is the one that looks like it might be low enough to slide int the Gulf and all that warm water.

look to the north, polar vortex season meets warm air from the south .

   Bill, we're just now entering the traditional peak period of hurricane season.  The wave coming across the Atlantic is now Tropical Storm Eduoard.  They're predicting that it will be a hurricane by early next week but it's not expected to threaten land.

  Eduoard is big and bad now but he's heading north and should bother almost no one.  There's a large batch of convection in the southern Caribbean that should develop quickly.

Lots of flooding around the world at the moment, our spring season can get a little frisky, but there seems to be more of a sting in its tail this year, and the trees and plants are trying to budd and drop leaves at the same time!

Gonzalo is predicted to beat up Bermuda then move out into the open ocean.  He's supposed to make it up to a category four but is apparently little threat to the mainland.  The wave behind Gonzalo has a lot of convection and some organization to it.  I guess that's the next possible threat.  I still can't believe how quiet it's been.  So far this is the mildest hurricane season since '94.

Well, this hurricane season has certainly been a dud.  That's a good thing.  Now on to winter.  Most sources seem to think it will be a snowy, cold one here in the Northeast.  I certainly hope so.