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Climate change: "Hug the Monster" (Read 3400 times)
Rat Man
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #75 - Jul 13th, 2012, 1:14pm
 
Quote from kentuckythrower on Jul 13th, 2012, 12:14pm:
OKAY...Y'ALL HAVE TOUCHED A NERVE!!!  Do you mean to tell me that humanity...as insignifiant as it is in a universal way, is actually resposible for global events??? GET REAL!!! All I have to say is PROVE IT!!! Show Me!!! C'mon, show me.!!!! I want you to show me actuall proof that humanity is responsible for "climate change"!!! Show me how, over trillions'a of years of climate change, humans have made one iota of change to our climate!!! I'm pissed as hell at all this climate change bull*&%t . Do you actually think that humans are resposile for climate change??? If you do...then tell us why...back up with actual proof...not some sort of computer "model". Tell you what's the truth folks, I don't k now jack about climate change, but I've got sense enough to know that humans just don't rate when it comes to any influence on climate.

Ohhhhh...lest we forget, the Ice Age ended...are you going lead me to bwelieve that the Neanderthals were responsible for that??? Furthermore...explain why I find fossils of tropical plants embededded in low-grade coal here in Kentucky??? This global warming business is nothing but a scam!!!

    The overall temperature of the planet is rising at a rate never seen before in history.  Glaciers are receding at many times what their normal rate would be.  The ocean levels are rising faster than ever before.  This started with the Industrial Revolution.  The evidence is a matter of putting two and two and two together to get six.  The earth is in a warming cycle that would have occurred anyway, but we've greatly accelerated it and are continuing to do so..  The best minds in the world are almost unanimous in recognizing this.  I wish it wasn't so.  Sadly, by the time global warming really rears its ugly head it'll be too late to fix it.  I'm probably too old and sick to still be around to see the worst of it, but if you're still alive when the stuff hits the fan, kentuckythrower, listen for my cosmic "I told you so," from the great beyond.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #76 - Jul 13th, 2012, 2:07pm
 
Quote from kentuckythrower on Jul 13th, 2012, 12:14pm:
OKAY...Y'ALL HAVE TOUCHED A NERVE!!!  Do you mean to tell me that humanity...as insignifiant as it is in a universal way, is actually resposible for global events??? GET REAL!!! All I have to say is PROVE IT!!! Show Me!!! C'mon, show me.!!!! I want you to show me actuall proof that humanity is responsible for "climate change"!!! Show me how, over trillions'a of years of climate change, humans have made one iota of change to our climate!!! I'm pissed as hell at all this climate change bull*&%t . Do you actually think that humans are resposile for climate change??? If you do...then tell us why...back up with actual proof...not some sort of computer "model". Tell you what's the truth folks, I don't k now jack about climate change, but I've got sense enough to know that humans just don't rate when it comes to any influence on climate.

Greenhouse gases are a real, observable, and demonstrable phenomenon. Some molecules trap heat more than others, and CO2 is one of them. People have had a definite impact on the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. There is almost 1.2 times the amount of CO2 in the air as there was in 1850, so there is consequently almost 1.2 times the amount of CO2 caused warming. The accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere is exponential, so we see bigger and bigger jumps in CO2 levels every year. One way we know this is by mathematical modeling but air samples that are put through spectrographic analysis confirm the results.
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Q. What percentage of the CO2 in the atmosphere has been produced by human beings through the burning of fossil fuels?

A.  Anthropogenic CO2 comes from fossil fuel combustion, changes in land use (e.g., forest clearing), and cement manufacture. Houghton and Hackler have estimated land-use changes from 1850-2000, so it is convenient to use 1850 as our starting point for the following discussion. Atmospheric CO2 concentrations had not changed appreciably over the preceding 850 years (IPCC; The Scientific Basis) so it may be safely assumed that they would not have changed appreciably in the 150 years from 1850 to 2000 in the absence of human intervention.

In the following calculations, we will express atmospheric concentrations of CO2 in units of parts per million by volume (ppmv). Each ppmv represents 2.13 X1015 grams, or 2.13 petagrams of carbon (PgC) in the atmosphere. According to Houghton and Hackler, land-use changes from 1850-2000 resulted in a net transfer of 154 PgC to the atmosphere. During that same period, 282 PgC were released by combustion of fossil fuels, and 5.5 additional PgC were released to the atmosphere from cement manufacture. This adds up to 154 + 282 + 5.5 = 441.5 PgC, of which 282/444.1 = 64% is due to fossil-fuel combustion.

Atmospheric CO2 concentrations rose from 288 ppmv in 1850 to 369.5 ppmv in 2000, for an increase of 81.5 ppmv, or 174 PgC. In other words, about 40% (174/441.5) of the additional carbon has remained in the atmosphere, while the remaining 60% has been transferred to the oceans and terrestrial biosphere.

The 369.5 ppmv of carbon in the atmosphere, in the form of CO2, translates into 787 PgC, of which 174 PgC has been added since 1850. From the second paragraph above, we see that 64% of that 174 PgC, or 111 PgC, can be attributed to fossil-fuel combustion. This represents about 14% (111/787) of the carbon in the atmosphere in the form of CO2.

From the US Government Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center
Humans are only insignificant on a universal scale, on a global scale we're a pretty big deal.
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Woonilsra
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #77 - Jul 14th, 2012, 3:11pm
 
kentuckythrower, here's an example of what we can do to our planets physical surface. And this is getting oil, which will help contribute to global warming when we use it for fuel etc.
 
This is a story about mining tar sands in Alberta, Canada. It's a story of pictures, with a caption for each to explain. Very drastic pictures.
http://www.businessinsider.com/canadian-oil-sands-flyover-2012-5?op=1
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #78 - Jul 15th, 2012, 1:38pm
 
Quote from Thearos on Jul 8th, 2012, 9:00pm:
Quote from Morphy on Jul 8th, 2012, 1:55pm:
Quote from wanderer on May 20th, 2012, 10:57pm:
I find the lack of trust in 'science' depressing, but not surprising.


My lack of trust is in the men behind the science.  There has already been a big scandal with Climate Gate. Sure I want what's best for the earth.  I really do.  I just don't think giving these blood sucking elite even more power over our system is the way to do it.  


Scientists as blood sucking elite ? That doesn't sound right. The top level of the 1%, who exercize huge political influence, have captured the discourse, have managed to make people vote against their economic interests, and are insulated from hardships or even the conditions of most of humanity-- that is a blood sucking elite.

Professional scientists, not so much.

 
No Sir, scientists are not the elite.  Read my previous posts.  Scientists do take money from the elite and elite run groups.  This is not news, it's been this way for a long time.
 
I imagine these same arguments were had decades ago about Global Cooling, and likely those in favor of a more balanced look at the issue were likely disregarded then as well.  Mainstream science has ever had a selective memory that even politicians would envy.  It's human nature I guess, and not "Science's" fault.  It's mankind's absolute refusal to learn from past mistakes and constant insistence that "we are more wise than our forefathers, it can't happen to us."  
 
Let me play devil's advocate for a second.  Let's assume A) That humans are the main/only cause of Global Warming.  B) Such a rise can not also be attributed in part or as a whole to natural fluctuations in the Earth's climate, as it has fluctuated consistently in the past, and there is rock solid proof that it does not play a part this time.
 
Let's move past the "if" for a second and focus on the solution.  How would you guys go about fixing the problem without destroying the sovereignty of nations and in America at least, the private sector?  The floor is yours, I'm all ears if anyone feels like tackling that one.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #79 - Jul 15th, 2012, 2:37pm
 
"Global cooling" is news to me: an invention to support your argument. You don't mean the ozone layer-- which was identified by scientists, leading to targeted and effective action ?
 
What is to be done ? I don't claim to know about this-- but wasn't there a precise framework, the Kyoto protocol, about limiting emissions ? Each country agreeing to targets, then implementing them internally by switching to cleaner sources of energy, to be obtained by legislation, tax incentives and subsidies, and complemented by a seachange in individual consumption patterns ?
 
The more we wait, the more (I think) the alternative is
 
1. The need for much more radical action (e.g. taxing air travel so heavily that it becomes a luxury good; massive shifting of resources and population), by the state
 
OR
 
2. The development towards that outcome, by chaotic conflict-driven competition processes.  
 
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #80 - Jul 15th, 2012, 3:02pm
 
Quote from Thearos on Jul 15th, 2012, 2:37pm:
"Global cooling" is news to me: an invention to support your argument. You don't mean the ozone layer-- which was identified by scientists, leading to targeted and effective action ?


 
/facepalm
 
This is why we need to study history so we can learn from it.
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Thearos
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #81 - Jul 15th, 2012, 3:10pm
 
So what do you mean ?
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #82 - Jul 15th, 2012, 3:14pm
 
Quote from Morphy on Jul 15th, 2012, 1:38pm:

I imagine these same arguments were had decades ago about Global Cooling, and likely those in favor of a more balanced look at the issue were likely disregarded then as well.  

 
The bad thing here is the belief that denying, or even hesitating about climate change is "balanced" and noble. It is not-- no more than hesitating about Holocaust denial (or gravity) is "balanced"-- a clear result of the way in which US media always claims to be balanced, and has difficulties pointing out truths, and lies. There is a clear scientific consensus right now.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #83 - Jul 15th, 2012, 3:19pm
 
I google Global cooling; wikipedia mentions something inthe 1970s, the second sentence of which is somethign to the effect that the scienfitic community didn't believe in it. I feel no inclination to pursue.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #84 - Jul 15th, 2012, 3:21pm
 
Kyoto was proposed in 1997-- 15 years ago. All the pointers have simply intensified since then.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #85 - Jul 15th, 2012, 4:59pm
 
On global cooling there are two things.
 
One is, during the '50's (I think it started there late) through the '70's there was some measured decrease in temperature that was attributed to certain aerosols.  Some of which were man-made and some that were natural.  This lead to the banning of many of the components of aerosol spray cans.
The other is recent tree-ring (I believe that is the principle source) data compilations of the last 2000 years or so that show the roman and medieval (I think, it's been a couple of weeks since I read this) warm periods weren't as warm as thought (at least local to the trees whose rings gave us this data) and that there appears to have been a cooling until the start of the industrial revolution.  That cooling corresponds to one of the global cycles that would indicate we should still be cooling and potentially heading for the next minor ice age (or even a major one).
 
There are a few problems with global warming.  Probably the biggest one is that the debate has become political not scientific.  Another is we only have one Earth, we can't exactly set up an experiment with a control and see what happens.  Another is the complexity of out climate, we are continually learning new influences (such as the potential for cosmic rays to influence cloud formation - studied within the last year) some of which may add to or take away from the warming of the planet.
 
The question becomes: How do you want to gamble?
And it is a gamble.  If we are creating the increase in temperature and we do nothing (or try something too late), we lose.
If we are creating the increase and we try the wrong thing, we lose.
If we aren't responsible and we spend lots of resources and money trying anything, we lose.
If we are responsible and do the right thing soon enough we may break even, there is even a chance we come out a bit ahead.
If we aren't responsible and do nothing we break even or come out a bit ahead.
 
Based upon what I've read and seen, I accept that we are around 60-70 % responsible and natural cycling covers 20-30 % and at least 10% is as of yet unknown.
 
ron
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #86 - Jul 15th, 2012, 5:06pm
 
    Did we cause global warming?  No, it would be happening without us.  But we've greatly accelerated it and are continuing to do so.  What can be done, Morphy?  The sun shines all over the planet.  There are many ways to harness its energy.  Besides solar panels there are currently solar power stations.  Spain is into them big time.  They work great.  You take a field of parabolic mirrors and aim them to reflect the sun at a tank filled with either water or oil.  http://www.eng.fsu.edu/~shih/succeed-2000/roadmap/solar%20power%20plant.htm
Free energy, there for the taking, everywhere.  
    We could greatly increase the number of wind turbines currently in use.  Easy.  
     Hydroelectric power is always an option.  Nukes also produce power without making greenhouse gasses, but of course they have their own set or problems.  
   Iceland is into geothermal power.  It works quite well for them.  
   This is just off the top of my head.
   Everyday across the planet the sun shines, rivers flow, the wind blows, and the earth cooks just a few miles below the surface (in some places much less than that).  The technology to use these resources has been with is for over a century.  Sadly it's repressed because the oil lobby is all powerful and will remain so until they've caused the end of life as we know it.  This is the whole truth, plain and simple.  
   I mean no one any disrespect, but the stakes are huge here and we're failing miserably.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #87 - Jul 15th, 2012, 10:18pm
 
  • Solar farms (in their current incarnation) are a bad idea. Lots on soil erosion.
  • Wind turbines are good, but their usefulness is limited to a few very windy places. Anecdotal evidence also points to bird strike problems.
  • Hydroelectric turbines are responsible for the extinct of more than a few freshwater fish populations in the US. They also greatly affect the flow of waterways, impacting crops and climate. About 14,000 refugees were displaced in Haiti because the country's first hydroelectric dam dried up a riverbed used for irrigation.
  • Geothermal has the same problem of wind, you can't use it in very many places. The climate must be cold or geothermal plants won't produce much energy, and you're almost entirely limited to the area around a dormant volcano. (Which may or may not become active and destroy your power station...)

I've seen research for huge, solar power greenhouses that look like glass nuclear cooling towers. Wind turbines are powered by the updraft from the greenhouse effect, and the inside of the tower is used to grow crops out of season. It seems like a good solution to the soil erosion problem of solar farms. Slight chance of tornadoes, however. Tongue Newer hydroelectric ocean current turbines look like they'll be able to rotate like weather vanes, will prevent fish from swimming in, and won't block off huge areas the way hydroelectric dams do. Small wind turbine weather vanes and solar panels can be mounted on home roofs and high rise buildings for lower impact power generation. I'm not sure geothermal is every going to be widely practical means of major power generation, however. The same principal of the Seebeck Coefficient may be used to create small amounts of electricity by exploiting the cooler temperatures at the top of a high rise as compared to the bottom (or the ground). It might at least create zero energy central air.
 
Regardless of my pessimism about current tech, there's lots that can be done.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #88 - Jul 16th, 2012, 10:19am
 
The problems you list are real, Mas,  but not much has been invested in solving them.  The energy is there and can be used once we get down to doing it.  The stumbling block is the oil lobby, which has more money than God to sabotage research into alternative energy sources.
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Re: Climate change: "Hug the Monster"
Reply #89 - Jul 16th, 2012, 11:19am
 
All those researchers I've mentioned many times indicate the same thing... If the "green" technologies could get just a bit of the government assistance and research and tax breaks that are lavished on the fossil fuel industries....Things would jump forward much faster.
 
Worried about soil erosion from big solar farms?  Put 'em on buildings.  Go back to my post on the "smart grid" and "point-produced" energy.
Bird strikes?  Inconsequential.  A tiny percentage, so tiny as to be insignificant.
It's grasping at straws.
The Tennessee Valley has been using hydroelectric power for many, many years.  Some fish are affected, some thrive.  There are ways to accomodate migrating fish.    
Fish populations are vastly more affected by GW than by building hydroelectrics.
 
These things can be done, we just need the political will to do them.  Germany, cloudy, landlocked Germany, has been generating between 25-50% of their power by solar alone.    
What could we do with vast stretches of unused sunny desert?    
Years ago, the idea of orbiting vast solar collectors and beaming the resultant energy down to the surface via microwave transmission was proposed.  
Entirely do-able, by all accounts.   The microwave "pressure" would be spread over many square kilometers where collector farms much like solar panels would function.
You could walk through the whole thing safely.
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