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Message started by Rat Man on Aug 5th, 2019 at 6:20pm

Title: Hurricanes
Post by Rat Man on Aug 5th, 2019 at 6:20pm
   A lot of our Atlantic hurricanes originate in Africa as you all know.  Consequently I'm always keeping an eye there. Tomorrow night an impressive wave will be leaving Africa's coast headed our way. It warrants watching. I've been scoping this one out for a few days now.
Wave.JPG (24 KB | 5 )

Title: Re: Hurricanes
Post by Rat Man on Aug 14th, 2019 at 7:42am
    Apparently there are large expanses of dry, dusty air from the Sahara that are preventing these tropical waves from organizing.... yet another variable. The Atlantic Basin is dead quiet.

Title: Re: Hurricanes
Post by Rat Man on Aug 20th, 2019 at 12:51pm
   And the Atlantic Basin remains strangely quiet.  There are a couple of large waves leaving the coast of Africa now and it's getting later in the season.  We'll be seeing some action soon.

Title: Re: Hurricanes
Post by Rat Man on Aug 26th, 2019 at 11:58am
Finally something to track... Dorian.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/144923.shtml?cone

Dorian.JPG (48 KB | 4 )

Title: Re: Hurricanes
Post by Bill Skinner on Aug 27th, 2019 at 11:16am
You seem happy that I might get smacked with a hurricane. 

Thanks a lot, buddy.   ;D 

I hope you get lots of snow this winter.   ;D

Seriously, hurricane season has been difficult to predict.  One guy at the U of Colorado got it right one year, he's been wrong ever since.  Farmer's Almanac has been right more often than NOAA as far as long term forecasts.  Lots of variables like the Sahara winds and such that haven't been figured out, yet.

Part of the problem is the predictions, the experts will say we are supposed to get so many hurricanes and tropical storms each year, then we don't.  But way too many people treat that educated guess as if it's a fact.  So. if the number is high or low, then it's an anomaly instead of a bad guess.
 

Title: Re: Hurricanes
Post by Rat Man on Aug 28th, 2019 at 9:00pm
  I would never wish a hurricane on anyone. LOL.  Besides almost all hurricanes that hit the east coast end up doing at least something to us here in New Jersey. Usually it's just lots of rain but sometimes we get hit hard here too. There are so many variables I don't know if long range hurricane prediction will ever become a reality.

Title: Re: Hurricanes
Post by walter on Sep 1st, 2019 at 10:09pm
Dorian. Catagory 5 supposed to hit S. Carolna in a few days  :'(

Title: Re: Hurricanes
Post by Rat Man on Sep 2nd, 2019 at 2:03pm
   Dorian is a monster.  There is more uncertainty about its path than  I can remember for any other hurricane.  They just don't know where it will make landfall.  Bahamas took a real beating.  It will be in the New Jersey area on Friday. Good luck to everyone in harms way.

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